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It was a bit of a strange end to the week last week with price first breaking the top of our consolidation channel - which we accurately thought would not last due to the triple acceleration fan lines that showed bull exhaustion - and then to start the week this week with a bearish gap below the bottom of the consolidation channel we were tracking last week.
We remain overall bearish on the pair due to the large bearish movements and downtrend present on the daily charts and so our primary trade today will be looking for an opportunity to sell if the pair does jump up to close the gap. Trading Idea: Primary trade will be a conservative short on a rally to close the gap around 1. If the price continues to fall before closing the gap or even attempting to close it then we will look to take an aggressive long near 1.
Our strategy here is that there will be enough buyers at lower levels looking to eventually close the gap and enough bears willing to take at least part of their position's profit around this level. There is also an opportunity for an aggressive swing trade going short on a sustained break below current short-term support shown in blue on chart above , currently at with targets at , , for 80 pips potential.
We will watch the area closely for the aggressive long trade mentioned above. Want analysis for more pairs? Tenkan-Sen level Andi — Could be a long night again my friend…. But, if so, will remain a headache :- Lets see? Getting tired already I am waiting for that closing over 1. The interpretation of this formation is similar to the interpretation of the Bollinger Band which measures volatility and broadens at certain reversals. The bottom line concept is that consolidation where prices are producing greater ranges indicate a potential reversal.
Now if we look to bollingerbands we will see clear that 1. Andi — Bears are playing around…But seems Teddies to me :- would be really nice to see back :- Going above and we made need to order some Bulldozers and loads of sands to fill a large Gap Comment left on: September 19, at johnny says: Comment left on: September 19, at johnny says: Andi — GM to you too Andi. However will still be tough to breach if we wanna see earlier made highs back.
Bearish it is and may soon be seen…But if any News on QE-3 hits the wire dollar may loose strength and Euro goes up again. First they announce no announcement, then they announce an announcement. A announcement is expected shortly, announces the Greek Finance ministry. They also announce that the Troika call is over. Why not go for that last 5 pips too. JohnR — as you may see…. It means Bears to me.
But lets see…. Cause I love clombing and will travel north with you all the way if possible :- but to me remain a Key! Those two last crossed last year in Sep to say bullish. However, there was a huge bear season as well soon after that. A bit laggy. Hawkeye Traders, a trading program that claims anyone who wants to understand trading better, gain insight into trends, how to understand the market, and have a safe and reliable system added to their arsenal as they trade will benefit from it, has caught the attention of ForexVestor.
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I stumbled across A professional trader on youtube named Martin Cole. He has opened my eyes to the real world of FX, to understand "why" the market moves the way it does instead of just trading blind off of signals and the formations the chart portrays. This is what most traders do, they use indicators and candle formations and well.
It says it all really. He trades Forex without a strategy. He plays "off of the Market Makers own Strategy" He says they use a business system which is as follows. If they want to buy low and sell high they "important!! They use us to oppose there trades. They need us to sell so they can buy.. How do they get it? You see Market Makers have access to information we do not. To put it simply were all using the tools they want us to use so that they can trick us into placing trades, and they will use this to there advantage whenever they want to add to there accumilation by eating up our stop losses and add to their accumilation process.
When we place a sell order below a key support line. They eagle eye the bulk of buy stop losses above the support line and target this area to get buy orders from us. Why do we all get stopped out only to see price turn around 1 pip later and go on to what would have been a massive profit?
This is the "only" time the Market Makers invite us to join in. It's supply and demand. When they oversell this is the retrace, not only this, they will happily play off the fear in traders and use our SL for accumilating mre buy orders before prices rise again. This process repeats until exaustion and then goes back into another accumilation phase to start all again. This is why we see zig zags formations.
You see it's not good enough to now that fibs work some times. Now I have surely misses out vital points here and probably not explained it very well. But now I actually understand why price moves the way it does. So I will never look at Forex in the same way ever again. I will be plotting the likely areas where traders will place Stop losses and focusing my attention closely at these point because that area is likely where price is going. The magic to this, is that you can get winners by default.
Even the Market Makers have to show their hand eventually. This might be shown in the form of a false break. Why was there a fault break? If your tricked into the belief that price will fall but the Market Maker is only accumilating buy orders on the other end of your trade. The trick is waiting for them to reveal their hand and then getting in the trade at the right time.
Don't be a victim of there manipulation. Infact I feel I understand what i'm looking at on the screen alot better but jesus. To know when the Market Maker is actually going to go into stage 3 "profit release" is very difficult Im at the stage where im staring at the chart thinking "hmmm" but i think soon I would be able to read the mind of the big boys purely by looking for when they show their hand..
Some people say that Market Makers do not do any of this, that they do not manipulate the market. It's a business and they have a model. The Market is not too big to control in this way. The various Market makers communicate with each other and take us traders all for mugs.
I truly beleive what Martin Cole has taught is true and very very helpful. Check him out. Very worth it. Yo si. But don't sign up to his course. Total ripp off. I'm unsure how all this works with multiple time frames.
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Volume is a quite simple concept to understand, yet it is very powerful because the amount of money that changes hands has an instantaneous affect upon the price of the trade. As Hawkeye Traders founder, Nigel Hawkes, says, volume is a totally un-lagged indicator. This means that once you learn the intricacies of how to use it, your trading will take on a new sense of urgency and you can add an extra layer of efficiency to what you do. The most powerful thing that you can take away from this site is a higher level of self-sufficiency.
You will learn new and very powerful trading strategies, yes, but you will also learn that it is quite possible—granted that you have the right tools and skill sets—to make a living trading within the Forex marketplace. Hawkeye Premiere has been around in a professional scope since , and this is a strong indicator that they have a proven track record.
Their site is littered with positive and encouraging testimonials from financial professionals and new traders alike. A lot of what the site offers is free and open to the public, so there is absolutely no risk to take a closer look at the theory behind this trading system before you invest any of your cash into it.
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