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The advantages gained by counting-cards are small, usually around the 0. These bet-strategies mainly depend on the amount of money you use to play BlackJack. The American professor Kelly has spend some time to create a bet-strategy with an optimal result on the long turn. With optimal is mend: The highest profit possible with the lest risk. He used an easy change-game, where the player only could win and lose his bet. The player knows for every game how big his advantage is, and he is allowed to choose his bet.
The Kelly criterion means: The Kelly bet-diagram:. The base-philosophy remains the same: — If the advantage is twice as much the bet also is twice as much. This means that the risk is also higher. BlackJack-betdiagram, depended on the advantage and the available capital:. V x 0,5 x capital If there is no advantage true count lower or equal to 1 the bets are minimal.
Because situations with true counts above 1 are rare about 1 in 6 games the bets are often minimal. Here you would lose to much on the minimum-bets. This is allowed because the risk is a bit lower. There is a reasonable expectation that the loss in one box is compensated by the profit on another. In the following table the total allowed bet for playing on multiple boxes is displayed, expressed in the bet that can be used on a box. Of course you have to be careful when you decide to play on boxes of other players.
Detailed bet-diagram:. True count. Explanation — bet 1 is the bet when there is being played on a box. The expected profit decreases to almost nothing. Factors that can change the profit. The profit that can be expected strongly depends on the following factors:. Both players have the same amount of costs with minimum-bets, but these are relative lower for players with larger capitals.
The position of the of the twinge-card in the pack The amount of times a favourable situations for the players occurs strongly depends on the position of the twinge-card. There's one more step. You need to convert that running count into what we call the true count. This right here is about one deck of cards. The true count is simply the running count divided by the number of decks remaining rounded to the nearest half deck.
For example, you have a running count of plus nine and there's four and a half decks remaining, nine over four and a half gives you a true count of plus two. And as true count increases, player advantage increases. The general idea is to bet little or nothing when you don't have the advantage, and then bet proportionally more as your advantage increases.
As far as how we would size our bets, we would bet true count minus one betting units. Let's say the running count is plus As you can see we have one deck that has come out, meaning that there's five decks remaining. That gives us a true count of 20 divided by five decks remaining.
It's a running count of 20, so we're going to play this out. Now, the count has moved down a bit to, what, We have a plus 17 count divided by about four and a half decks remaining, so we're still at about a true count of plus four, so we can keep the same bet. So 23 with four decks remaining, about, gives us a true count of plus six, so how much should we bet?
Well, five units. Now you get a sense of everything that you have to do. You have to play perfect basic strategy, keep track of the running count, convert that into the proper true count based on the decks remaining and then hopefully have enough leeway to be able to interact with other players and pay attention to what's going on. Starring: Mike Aponte. Hide Up Next. Dragon Dice - Comic-Con How Conductors Lead Musicians in Performance.
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